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How Difficult To Win A Progressive Jackpot?


THE VIDEO SLOT MACHINES AND THE VIRTUAL CASINO ONLINE CASINO PLAY HUGE JACKPOTS. BUT WHAT IS THE CHANCE TO WIN THEM?

Often progressive slot machines offer jackpots of such high amounts as to be able to radically change the life of the player who manages to win it. But the reason why the jackpots often reach millions of Euros is simple: the chances of winning it are low, not zero, but really low.

Let's start with a simple example: take a mechanical slot machine that has 3 reels, 20 symbols for each reel and a single payline. To win the jackpot, you need to get a combination of 3 certain symbols. The probability of success is 1 / (20 * 20 * 20), i.e. 1 in 8000. If we increase the number of reels to 4, the probability would drop to 1 in 160,000. With 5 reels, you would have only 1 chance on over 3 million. Unfortunately there are few mechanical slot machines still operating in traditional casinos and obviously online gaming is completely virtual.

The new "virtual" slot machines, available both in online casinos and in traditional casinos, are extremely difficult to analyze in mathematical terms for various reasons:

The outcome of the bets depends on a random number generation software (RNG), whose code could be different for each game.

The special functions, the high number of symbols and multiple paylines very confuse the waters.

The progressive jackpot is often shared with multiple slot machines belonging to a casino network and it is impossible to estimate how many plays are made by all players.

Based on statistical data, we can however say that winning a millionaire jackpot in the slot machines in online casinos is extremely difficult: the odds range from 1 in 20 million to 1 in 40 million. To be clear, the odds of making 5 to the Superenalotto are about 1 in 1,250,000.

BUT THEN WHY PLAYERS GET SUCCESSFUL?

If it is so difficult to win the jackpot, why do so many players love the new generation slot machines? The eye-catching graphics, the bonus games and the idea of being able to win a stratospheric sum have an irresistible charm for casino customers. Based on the calculation of the probability of winning, this type of game represents the worst option among all the alternatives available in the casinos.

Following a purely mathematical reasoning, it would be better not to play slot machines. If you really have to do it, choose slots that do not have very high jackpots and with as few symbols as possible.